How it works

Where these numbers come from

Niryat Hub is a scoring engine with a demonstration data set behind it. This page states which figures are seeded, which are computed, and what the interface will and will not let a language model do.

The seven components

Each is normalised 0–100 against a fixed band, then combined with the weight shown. The weights sum to exactly 1.

  • Demandannual import value, log-scaled25%
  • Growth5-year CAGR20%
  • Priceunit price against this product’s band15%
  • Market accessthe duty this market charges on this line15%
  • CompetitionNepal’s share and supplier concentration10%
  • Logisticsroute and handling estimate10%
  • Complianceentry requirement burden5%

Rules the engine keeps

  • A missing figure is never a zero

    A market with an unknown input scores null and is reported as insufficient data. It ranks last and keeps its rank number — it is never quietly averaged into the middle.

  • Anchors are fixed, not relative

    Every component is normalised against a fixed band rather than against the other markets in the table. Adding an eleventh market cannot change the first ten.

  • Ties break the same way every time

    Equal totals resolve on market id, so the same seed always produces the same board — the demo on stage is the demo you rehearsed.

  • Price is judged per product

    $24 a kilo is premium for cardamom and unremarkable for carpets, so the price band lives on the product, not on the market.

What each tag means

Every figure carries one, beside the number rather than in a legend at the bottom of the page.

  • SRCTaken from a source dataset as published.
  • CALCComputed by the scoring engine from source figures.
  • AIProse written by a model from figures already computed.
  • DEMOA seeded demonstration value, not an official statistic.

What the model is allowed to do

The reading under every market is composed deterministically first, then offered to the model. Whatever comes back replaces prose — never a figure. No key, a refusal, a timeout or no network all land on the same deterministic text, labelled DETERMINISTIC on screen.

It may

  • Explain what the computed figures mean together.
  • Say which component carried the score and which dragged it.
  • Rewrite that reading in plainer language.

It may not

  • Originate, adjust or round any number on the screen.
  • Name a duty, a scheme or a rate the engine did not supply.
  • Decide a ranking, a buyer match or a route.

Sources behind the seed

Trade figures are seeded values structured to mirror what these publish. They are not live extracts — confirm any duty against the destination’s own tariff before pricing a shipment.

SourceWhat it stands behind
UN ComtradeImport value and five-year growth per HS line and destination.
ITC Trade Map / Market Access MapApplied duties, preference schemes and Nepal’s share of each market.
EU Access2Markets / TARICEuropean entry requirements, and the rate to confirm before quoting.
Department of Customs, NepalExporter registration, EXIM code and the declaration filed at the exit point.
TEPC and recognised chambersCertificate of origin and the preference paperwork issued in Nepal.